Essays classified by Data Source vi
Essays classified by Statistical Method ix
Preface xv
Introduction: Learning from data by David S. Moore xvii
PART ONE
PUBLIC POLICY AND SOCIAL SCIENCE 1
Statistics in the Courtroom: United States v. Kristen Gilbert · George Cobb & Stephen Gehlbach 3
The Anatomy of a preelection Poll · Edward C. Ratledge 19
Counting and Apportionment: Foundations of America''s Democracy ·Tommy Wright & George cobb 35
Evaluating School Choice programs · Jennifer Hill 69
Designing National Health care Surveys to Inform Health Policy · Steven B. Cohen & Trena M. Ezzati-Rice 89
PART TWO
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 103
Monitoring Tiger Prey Abundance in the Russian Far East · Ken Grown, Dale Miquelle, & V.V. Aramilev 105
Predicting the Africanized Bee Invasion · James H. Matis & Thomas R. Kiffe 119
Statistics and the War on Spam · David Madigan 135
Should You Measure the Radon concentration in Your Home? · Phillip N. Price & Andrew Gelman 149
Statistical Weather Forecasting · Daniel S. Wilks 171
Space Debris: Yet Another Environmental Problem · David R. Brillinger 183
PART THREE
BIOLOGY AND MEDICINE 195
Modeling an Out break of Anthrax · Ron Brookmeyer 197
The Last Frontier: Understanding the Human Mind · William F. Eddy & Margaret L. Smykla 211
Leveraging Chance in HIV Research · Charles M. Heilig, Elizabeth G. Hil, & John M. Karon 227
Statistical Genetics : Associating Genotypic Differences with Measurable Outcomes · Rongling Wu & George Casella .....................243
DNA Fingerprinting · Bruce S. Weir ............. 255
How Many Genes? Mapping Mouse Traits · Melanie Bahlo & Terry Speed 271
PART FOUR
BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY 291
To catch a Thief: Detecting cell Phone Fraud · Diane Lambert & Jose C. Pinheiro 293
Reducing Junk Mail Using Data Mining Techniques · Richard D. De Veaux & Herb Edelstein 307
Improving the Accuracy of a Newspaper: A Six Sigma case Study of business Process Improvement · Ronald D. Snee 323
Assuring Product Reliability and Safety · Necip Doganaksoy, Gerald J. Hahn, & William Q. Meeker 339
Essays classified by Statistical Method ix
Preface xv
Introduction: Learning from data by David S. Moore xvii
PART ONE
PUBLIC POLICY AND SOCIAL SCIENCE 1
Statistics in the Courtroom: United States v. Kristen Gilbert · George Cobb & Stephen Gehlbach 3
The Anatomy of a preelection Poll · Edward C. Ratledge 19
Counting and Apportionment: Foundations of America''s Democracy ·Tommy Wright & George cobb 35
Evaluating School Choice programs · Jennifer Hill 69
Designing National Health care Surveys to Inform Health Policy · Steven B. Cohen & Trena M. Ezzati-Rice 89
PART TWO
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 103
Monitoring Tiger Prey Abundance in the Russian Far East · Ken Grown, Dale Miquelle, & V.V. Aramilev 105
Predicting the Africanized Bee Invasion · James H. Matis & Thomas R. Kiffe 119
Statistics and the War on Spam · David Madigan 135
Should You Measure the Radon concentration in Your Home? · Phillip N. Price & Andrew Gelman 149
Statistical Weather Forecasting · Daniel S. Wilks 171
Space Debris: Yet Another Environmental Problem · David R. Brillinger 183
PART THREE
BIOLOGY AND MEDICINE 195
Modeling an Out break of Anthrax · Ron Brookmeyer 197
The Last Frontier: Understanding the Human Mind · William F. Eddy & Margaret L. Smykla 211
Leveraging Chance in HIV Research · Charles M. Heilig, Elizabeth G. Hil, & John M. Karon 227
Statistical Genetics : Associating Genotypic Differences with Measurable Outcomes · Rongling Wu & George Casella .....................243
DNA Fingerprinting · Bruce S. Weir ............. 255
How Many Genes? Mapping Mouse Traits · Melanie Bahlo & Terry Speed 271
PART FOUR
BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY 291
To catch a Thief: Detecting cell Phone Fraud · Diane Lambert & Jose C. Pinheiro 293
Reducing Junk Mail Using Data Mining Techniques · Richard D. De Veaux & Herb Edelstein 307
Improving the Accuracy of a Newspaper: A Six Sigma case Study of business Process Improvement · Ronald D. Snee 323
Assuring Product Reliability and Safety · Necip Doganaksoy, Gerald J. Hahn, & William Q. Meeker 339